Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 1260.325521 1428.543464 1614.199875 1834.865099 2090.714915 2378.874635 2729.195653
2025-11-02 1021.172537 1250.118756 1526.103129 1885.770411 2345.721431 2919.034881 3695.291933
2025-11-09 882.291946 1136.784936 1462.265252 1914.026795 2532.654373 3361.546386 4575.680688
2025-11-16 782.544300 1049.998920 1408.609351 1932.436633 2691.268438 3771.323620 5462.909067
2025-11-23 707.684325 982.771353 1366.786866 1953.012198 2845.055729 4184.524881 6412.803821
2025-11-30 652.133753 933.672023 1341.077132 1988.223758 3018.122218 4642.874448 7502.726108
2025-12-07 583.961450 857.484029 1265.323662 1935.180488 3042.592551 4865.289782 8235.085644
2025-12-14 526.456996 790.736245 1195.539585 1880.842737 3053.884563 5061.587283 8947.542391
2025-12-21 475.378029 728.616881 1125.995061 1817.402177 3039.014569 5206.404125 9584.147621
2025-12-28 456.529779 715.459359 1132.734982 1881.177044 3251.330439 5783.027612 11151.812427
2026-01-04 433.081103 692.363057 1120.333931 1909.392619 3401.464293 6263.556131 12614.880241
2026-01-11 409.938164 667.539635 1102.287035 1924.718290 3528.016127 6714.605282 14100.787124
2026-01-18 387.328533 642.361154 1082.408662 1936.619954 3653.942092 7192.883354 15772.159513
2026-01-25 372.869502 630.197542 1084.534885 1990.597589 3872.209628 7901.650371 18152.615459
2026-02-01 356.339127 612.777562 1075.203236 2020.665239 4044.264372 8536.997305 20502.227266
2026-02-08 339.914716 594.086817 1061.604204 2040.253433 4195.914928 9150.440380 22945.039086
2026-02-15 325.189299 577.278848 1049.917781 2062.148167 4355.192462 9808.169688 25676.933830
2026-02-22 313.436057 565.083254 1045.954088 2099.622040 4554.910919 10599.240717 29005.565471
2026-03-01 292.430964 533.480828 1000.866097 2043.173091 4525.721811 10804.393996 30620.634017
2026-03-08 273.081366 503.746093 957.180850 1985.360924 4485.751538 10975.013959 32175.217277
2026-03-15 254.349147 473.979454 911.189638 1917.882788 4413.540500 11047.870471 33434.453958
2026-03-22 249.857015 472.439638 923.616988 1985.716562 4693.300954 12148.208783 38534.633119
2026-03-29 242.126459 463.718730 920.106238 2015.734482 4879.170198 13015.723009 43091.590196